Finance

Harding Loevner Emerging Markets Equity Q1 2026 Commentary

Harding Loevner's Emerging Markets Equity composite experienced a modest downturn in the first quarter of 2026, closely tracking the performance of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. This period saw strategic acquisitions and re-investments across various sectors, reflecting a dynamic approach to portfolio management amidst evolving global economic conditions. The fund's decisions were driven by detailed analyses of market trends, company-specific developments, and geopolitical factors.

Key investment actions included the acquisition of Kazatomprom, a major uranium producer poised to gain from the renewed global interest in nuclear energy, fueled by the escalating demand for power from artificial intelligence data centers. Additionally, the fund strategically re-entered positions in Mercadolibre and WuXi AppTec, recognizing improved valuations and reduced risks. The commentary also highlighted CATL's pioneering work in energy storage solutions, emphasizing its critical role in advancing sustainable energy infrastructure through innovative battery technologies.

Strategic Investments and Market Performance

Harding Loevner made several calculated moves in the first quarter of 2026, demonstrating a forward-looking investment philosophy. A notable acquisition was Kazatomprom, a prominent player in the uranium sector. This investment was predicated on the growing global demand for nuclear power, which is experiencing a resurgence as countries seek reliable and clean energy sources. The escalating energy requirements of AI data centers, in particular, are driving this renewed interest, positioning uranium producers like Kazatomprom for significant growth. This strategic entry aims to capitalize on long-term energy trends and the increasing importance of nuclear power in the global energy mix.

The fund's performance during this period was also shaped by broader market movements. The Emerging Markets Equity composite registered a slight decrease of 0.29% gross of fees, closely mirroring the MSCI Emerging Markets Index's 0.10% decline. This indicates that the fund's strategy largely aligned with overall market trends in emerging economies. The market saw initial gains in the first two months, which were subsequently offset in March by the emergence of the Middle East conflict. This geopolitical event prompted investors to reassess its potential impact on global economic stability and commodity prices, leading to a period of volatility and adjustments across various market segments.

Technological Innovation and Portfolio Rebalancing

Beyond traditional energy, Harding Loevner also focused on companies driving technological innovation in sustainable energy. CATL, a leader in battery technology, was a key area of interest due to its significant advancements in solving industrial battery storage challenges. CATL has been instrumental in enhancing electric vehicle (EV) batteries and developing robust energy storage systems, making large-scale power storage feasible for major utilities. This focus underscores the fund's commitment to companies that are not only financially sound but also contribute to long-term environmental sustainability and technological progress in critical sectors.

In a strategic rebalancing effort, the fund re-invested in Mercadolibre, an e-commerce giant, after its shares traded significantly below their previous exit price. This re-entry was justified by the attractive upside potential, even with modest improvements in profit margins, indicating a strong belief in the company's long-term value. Similarly, WuXi AppTec, a leading Chinese contract research organization, was repurchased. This decision followed a decrease in the perceived risk of disruption from the BIOSECURE Act, coupled with strong business momentum and favorable valuations at approximately 17 times forward earnings. These re-entries reflect a meticulous risk-reward assessment and a proactive approach to leveraging market dislocations for future gains.

Intuit: A Market Leader with Compelling Value and AI-Driven Growth

Intuit, a leader in financial software, is currently undervalued and offers a compelling investment opportunity. The company's dividend yield is at a decade high, underpinned by a 14-year history of double-digit increases and excellent safety metrics. Despite market concerns regarding AI's impact and DIY TurboTax performance, Intuit's TurboTax Live and Enterprise Suite are driving robust revenue growth. The stock's valuation is attractive, trading at approximately 13.9 times its fiscal year 2026 earnings per share, significantly below its historical range of 35-39 times. The estimated fair value is $524.26, compared to a current share price of around $331.

Intuit has established itself as a dominant force in financial software, providing solutions for accounting, bookkeeping, tax filing, and email marketing. Its strong market position is supported by consistent growth and innovative offerings. The company's commitment to shareholder returns is evident in its impressive dividend history, making it an appealing choice for income-focused investors. Furthermore, Intuit's strategic focus on integrating AI into its products and expanding its enterprise solutions positions it for sustained future growth, dispelling concerns about potential disruptions in the financial software industry.

Intuit's Market Leadership and Dividend Appeal

Intuit is a leading provider of financial accounting, bookkeeping, tax filing, and email marketing software. The company holds a strong market position, characterized by robust growth metrics. As a dividend growth stock, Intuit is recognized as a Dividend Contender, with a history of increasing its dividends for 14 consecutive years. The current dividend yield is at a decade high, reflecting the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders. This combination of market leadership, consistent growth, and attractive dividend policies makes Intuit an appealing investment for those seeking both capital appreciation and income.

Intuit's strong performance in the financial software sector is built on its comprehensive suite of products and its ability to adapt to evolving market demands. The company's dividend growth streak underscores its financial stability and strong cash flow generation, providing a reliable income stream for investors. Beyond its current offerings, Intuit's strategic investments in emerging technologies, particularly AI, are enhancing its product capabilities and expanding its market reach. The company's ability to innovate and maintain its competitive edge ensures its continued relevance and growth in the dynamic financial technology landscape.

Undervalued Stock with AI-Driven Growth

Despite investor concerns regarding the potential disruption from AI and a perceived weakness in its DIY TurboTax segment, Intuit's TurboTax Live and Enterprise Suite are driving significant double-digit revenue growth. These innovative solutions demonstrate Intuit's ability to leverage advanced technologies and cater to a diverse customer base. The stock is currently trading at an attractive valuation of approximately 13.9 times its fiscal year 2026 earnings per share, which is considerably lower than its historical trading range of 35-39 times. This suggests that the market may be underestimating Intuit's growth potential and its ability to adapt to industry changes, presenting a compelling value proposition for investors.

Intuit's strategic focus on AI integration, particularly within its TurboTax Live platform, allows it to offer personalized and efficient tax preparation services, attracting a growing number of users. The Enterprise Suite further strengthens its position by providing comprehensive financial management solutions for businesses. These growth drivers mitigate concerns about the DIY TurboTax segment and highlight Intuit's forward-thinking approach. The current undervaluation of the stock, combined with its strong underlying business fundamentals and AI-driven innovation, points to a significant upside potential. Investors who recognize Intuit's strategic advancements and its robust financial health may find this an opportune time to consider adding it to their portfolios.

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Paragon Banking Group Reveals Robust H1 2026 Performance

Paragon Banking Group has delivered an exceptional financial and operational performance for the first half of 2026, demonstrating remarkable resilience amidst fluctuating market conditions. The specialist lender reported an underlying operating profit of GBP 146 million, accompanied by a 2.9% rise in underlying earnings per share and an impressive 17.4% return on tangible equity. These results underscore the effectiveness of Paragon's business model and the strength of its diverse franchises, navigating a period marked by heightened uncertainty and financial market volatility. The group's success is attributed to robust margins, strategic loan portfolio expansion, stringent cost controls, and substantial capital generation, positioning it favorably within the competitive banking landscape.

The company's strategic focus on funding diversification has also played a crucial role in its strong performance. While deposit pricing pressures have continued, Paragon's ability to leverage various funding options, including repo funding, covered bonds, savings platforms, and wholesale sources, has provided greater control over pricing and mitigated market challenges. This proactive approach to managing funding costs, coupled with its market-leading cost-income ratio of 35.5%, highlights Paragon's commitment to operational efficiency and sustainable growth. Furthermore, ongoing technology investments have enhanced customer experience and productivity, with a significant portion of core systems now cloud-based, improving service delivery and operational agility.

Strategic Financial Growth and Operational Excellence

Paragon Banking Group demonstrated significant financial strength in the first half of 2026, marked by robust loan growth and a net interest margin that surpassed initial projections. Despite ongoing competitive pressures in the deposit market, the group's net interest income saw a 2.2% increase year-over-year. The group-wide loan growth reached 3.8%, with underlying buy-to-let loan growth at 6.7% and commercial lending expanding by 9.2%. This strategic diversification of assets has been a key driver of its strong net interest margin performance. The company's proactive management of funding costs, utilizing a variety of options such as repo funding and covered bonds, allowed it to maintain a healthy net interest margin of 308 basis points, exceeding expectations and demonstrating effective financial stewardship in a dynamic economic environment.

The strong financial outcomes are a testament to Paragon's disciplined approach to growth and operational efficiency. The company's ability to navigate market challenges, including deposit pricing pressures, by strategically diversifying its funding sources, has been critical. This adaptability enables Paragon to secure favorable pricing and maintain profitability. Furthermore, the firm's ongoing investments in technology, including a digital mortgage origination platform and the adoption of AI tools like Microsoft Copilot, are enhancing operational speed, efficiency, and customer satisfaction. These technological advancements, combined with a focus on controlling costs and a market-leading cost-income ratio, ensure that Paragon remains competitive and well-positioned for sustained growth while delivering strong returns to its shareholders.

Prudent Risk Management and Capital Allocation

Paragon Banking Group's commitment to prudent risk management is evident in its approach to impairments and capital generation. While bad debts were higher than the previous year, they saw a 20% reduction from the latter half of the year, primarily linked to a specific cohort of development finance loans identified earlier. The broader loan portfolio maintains a low cost of risk, indicating overall health and stability. The company's transparent communication regarding these charges and its conservative provisioning for motor finance commissions reflect a cautious yet strategic stance on potential financial liabilities. This focus on managing risks effectively ensures that the group's financial foundations remain strong, even in a complex regulatory and economic landscape, safeguarding shareholder value and maintaining market confidence.

The group's robust capital generation further highlights its financial prudence and strategic foresight. Paragon announced an additional GBP 50 million share buyback, supported by an impressive 2.4% annualized CET1 capital generation in 2026. This consistent generation of surplus capital, averaging 2.2% annually over the last decade, has enabled the company to fund growth, dividends, acquisitions, and substantial share buybacks, significantly reducing its share count. The inaugural AT1 bond issuance optimized the capital structure, ensuring capital ratios remain well above regulatory requirements. Management's commitment to not holding onto excess capital and instead deploying it for growth or returning it to shareholders underscores a disciplined capital allocation strategy focused on maximizing long-term value and demonstrating confidence in the group's future prospects.

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