Finance

Madison Small Cap Fund's Q1 2026 Strategy: Navigating Volatility with Strategic Investments

The Madison Small Cap Fund (Class I) experienced marginal growth in the first quarter of 2026, achieving a 0.10% increase. This performance unfolded against a backdrop of significant market volatility, influenced by concerns over AI's disruptive potential and the ongoing geopolitical instability stemming from the Iran conflict. Despite slightly trailing the Russell 2000 Index (up 0.89%) and the Russell 2500 Index (up 2.04%), the fund's core holdings demonstrated resilience, with IT investments notably outperforming within a challenging technology landscape. The fund also capitalized on new strategic positions, contributing positively to its relative performance. With an eye toward sustained growth, the Madison Small Cap Fund selectively adjusted its holdings, emphasizing companies with strong fundamentals and attractive valuations to navigate future market uncertainties.

Madison Small Cap Fund's Q1 2026 Investment Strategy and Performance

In the initial quarter of 2026, the Madison Small Cap Fund, specifically its Class I shares, recorded a modest return of 0.10%. This performance occurred amidst a dynamic market environment where the Russell 2000 Index grew by 0.89% and the Russell 2500 Index advanced by 2.04%. Despite the slight underperformance relative to these benchmarks, the fund observed positive indications, notably robust contributions from its foundational positions and superior performance from its information technology sector investments during a downturn in the tech market. Newly introduced positions also played a role in enhancing the fund's relative standing for the quarter.

From a stylistic standpoint, value-oriented small-cap equities outperformed growth-oriented ones, with the Russell 2000 Value Index climbing approximately 4.5% while the Russell 2000 Growth Index declined by nearly 3%. This shift in the growth index was primarily driven by a weakening in speculative stocks, a trend that aligns favorably with the fund's preference for established, profitable enterprises over high-risk ventures. Nevertheless, market volatility, exacerbated by concerns over AI's disruptive influence and the geopolitical ramifications of the Iran conflict on energy markets and interest rates, continued to define the investment landscape. Fund managers believe that such volatility will continue to offer strategic opportunities for patient investors.

Regarding portfolio attribution, the fund's technology holdings emerged as the top performers, propelled by strong results from semiconductor companies. This was despite a weaker showing from software investments, largely due to speculation regarding AI disruption. Viavi stood out as the fund's strongest stock, benefiting from its recent acquisition of Spirent and increased demand from semiconductor and memory sectors. Viavi is strategically positioned within the AI data center ecosystem, particularly noted for its alignment with NVIDIA's AI reference architecture. Other strong performers included Entegris, FormFactor, and Power Integrations.

The software sector experienced a significant downturn in Q1, with the iShares expanded software ETF (IGV) dropping by 25% and the S&P Software Industry Index seeing a similar decline. Valuations in this sector contracted sharply, presenting attractive entry points for the fund. The Madison Small Cap Fund made several new investments in software companies that possess strong franchises in critical applications, which are deemed less susceptible to disruption by AI-native competitors. For example, investments in Workiva, a provider of compliance and regulatory software, are considered resilient given its deep integration into client operations.

Energy, materials, and defense sectors also showed solid absolute performance. Leonardo DRS, a smid-cap defense contractor, delivered better-than-expected results, driven by its involvement in the Columbia submarine platform and the Golden Dome missile defense initiative. This company is well-managed and benefits from diversified defense spending. In contrast, the healthcare sector was the weakest performer, with drug development companies like Charles River Labs and Medpace Holdings experiencing pullbacks due to AI disruption fears. However, the fund maintains a positive outlook, believing AI will enhance drug development efficiency and increase demand for clinical research services, selectively adding to these positions. Gitlab, Inc. and Commvault Systems were notable detractors from performance.

Portfolio activity remained brisk in Q1, mirroring the previous quarter's trend, with four new stocks acquired and two sold. New acquisitions included ICU Medical, a medical device company with a strong market position and cash flow; Matador Resources Company, a Delaware Basin E&P company trading at a discount; Procore Technologies, a construction management software provider with significant growth potential; and SiteOne Landscape Supply, a dominant consolidator in the landscape supply industry. The fund divested from Chord Energy Corporation to enhance its position in Matador Resources and sold Globus Medical after its market cap grew significantly post-acquisition.

Looking ahead to 2026, the fund anticipates continued market volatility, particularly from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East impacting energy markets and interest rates. While a softening in the labor market has not yet been observed, the impact of AI and higher input costs could challenge consumers. The fund is also monitoring private credit issues and the upcoming midterm elections. Despite these challenges, the fund believes the fading of speculative market excesses creates an environment ripe for thoughtful and opportunistic investments, particularly in durable housing, materials, and select energy names.

The investment landscape in 2026, as outlined by the Madison Small Cap Fund, presents a complex yet opportunity-rich environment. The fund's proactive approach to navigating volatility through strategic sector allocation and a focus on quality, resilient companies underscores a thoughtful adaptation to market shifts. The emphasis on AI's long-term benefits for drug development, despite short-term fears, and the identification of undervalued assets in critical sectors offer valuable insights. This strategy suggests that even amidst global uncertainties, diligent research and patient investing can yield positive outcomes, reinforcing the importance of fundamental analysis over speculative trends.

Thrivent Mid Cap Growth Fund Q1 2026 Performance Overview

The Thrivent Mid Cap Growth Fund (TMCGX) recently completed a successful quarter, surpassing the performance of the Russell Mid Cap Growth Index. This favorable outcome was predominantly attributed to a strategic allocation effect, alongside exceptional stock picking within key sectors. The fund demonstrated a proactive approach to portfolio management, adjusting its holdings to maximize returns while mitigating risks, underscoring its commitment to delivering value to investors.

A significant portion of the fund's outperformance stemmed from its shrewd investments in the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors. Notably, companies such as Coherent (COHR), Monolithic Power (MPWR), and Lattice Semiconductor (LSCC) delivered outstanding results. These technology firms reported robust quarterly earnings and received optimistic forward estimate revisions, fueling substantial outperformance in their stock values. Similarly, Ross Stores (ROST) within the consumer discretionary sector, greatly exceeded expectations with its comparable store sales growth and offered an encouraging future outlook that surpassed consensus predictions. These successes highlight the fund's ability to identify and capitalize on strong corporate fundamentals and positive market sentiments.

Beyond individual stock triumphs, the fund's strategic rebalancing during the quarter played a crucial role. TMCGX introduced 12 new positions, diversifying its exposure across five distinct sectors. Simultaneously, it divested from 15 underperforming holdings spanning seven sectors. This active management included paring down positions where the initial investment thesis had weakened, exemplified by the exit from CoStar Group. Such dynamic adjustments reflect a disciplined approach to maintaining a portfolio aligned with current market opportunities and the fund's growth objectives.

Looking ahead, the Thrivent Mid Cap Growth Fund remains committed to its investment philosophy, focusing on differentiated growth companies. The fund continues to seek out enterprises operating within large total addressable markets (TAMs) that exhibit strong potential for fundamental improvement. This forward-looking strategy positions TMCGX to navigate macroeconomic uncertainties and capitalize on emerging product cycles, aiming for sustained long-term growth and superior returns for its shareholders.

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FinVolution: Navigating Challenges and Seizing Global Opportunities

FinVolution (FINV) has recently faced significant challenges, including a notable decline in its fiscal year 2025 revenue, which fell to CNY3 billion, and a substantial 39% decrease in operating income. These downturns are largely attributed to the intricate web of regulatory changes in China and prevailing credit market headwinds. Despite these domestic pressures, the company's strategic focus on international expansion has yielded promising results. Its global operations now account for 25% of total revenue and have generated a $15 million profit, even with the considerable expenses associated with underwriting and customer acquisition in new markets. However, FinVolution is also grappling with rising delinquency rates, influenced by both stricter domestic regulations and a general deterioration in digital credit quality in international markets, exacerbated by broader interest rate cuts. This evolving landscape, while challenging, is expected to normalize as new regulatory frameworks become fully entrenched. The structural scarcity of robust financial services in many international markets continues to offer a significant avenue for growth, especially as local fintech industries consolidate, positioning a seasoned entity like FinVolution to capitalize on these emerging opportunities.

FinVolution's Strategic Realignment and Global Ascent Amidst Market Volatility

In a period marked by considerable market fluctuations and evolving regulatory frameworks, FinVolution (FINV) has demonstrated remarkable resilience and strategic adaptability. The company's recent financial disclosures for fiscal year 2025 painted a mixed picture: a contraction in revenue to CNY3 billion and a 39% reduction in operating income, largely driven by the impact of new regulations and adverse credit market conditions. These domestic headwinds have necessitated a re-evaluation of its operational strategies, particularly concerning its core business in China. Concurrently, FinVolution's proactive foray into international markets has emerged as a beacon of growth. Its overseas ventures have not only contributed a substantial 25% to the company's total revenue but have also yielded a $15 million profit, underscoring the success of its global expansion strategy. This achievement is particularly noteworthy given the substantial initial investments required for underwriting and customer acquisition in these nascent markets. However, the company is not without its challenges. An uptick in delinquency rates, influenced by the dual pressures of tightening domestic regulations and a broader decline in digital credit quality in international regions—a consequence of widespread rate cuts—has prompted caution. Despite this, FinVolution anticipates a stabilization in these trends as regulatory environments mature and market dynamics adjust. Looking ahead, the inherent lack of sophisticated financial infrastructure in many global territories represents a vast, untapped market. As these local fintech ecosystems consolidate and mature, FinVolution, with its extensive experience and established operational models, is uniquely positioned to become a dominant force, leveraging its expertise to navigate and thrive within these expanding landscapes.

FinVolution's journey through this period of intense change offers valuable lessons in corporate agility and foresight. The company's ability to pivot towards international growth, even while managing significant domestic challenges, highlights the importance of diversified strategies. It also underscores the critical role of understanding and adapting to diverse regulatory landscapes, both at home and abroad. The insights gained from FinVolution's experience suggest that for financial technology firms, long-term success hinges not only on innovative product offerings but also on a robust capacity to absorb market shocks, manage credit risks effectively, and strategically leverage global opportunities. This case study serves as a reminder that even in volatile sectors, strategic realignment and a clear vision for international expansion can pave the way for sustainable growth and market leadership.

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